It is almost training camp time, so it is time for an updated first round mock draft. This mock is based off a Half-PPR, 10 team re-draft league. My personal rankings will be used, because I value and devalue player a little differently. Here we go.
(1st Overall)- Saquon Barkley: Edging out the rest of the “Big 4.” I chose Barkley at the one spot due to his insane talent and workload. Yes, the offense might hold him back, but can it really get much worse than last season? It can only go up from here and Saquon should cruise his way to a top 5 finish.
(2nd Overall)- Alvin Kamara: I chose Kamara over Zeke due to the uncertainty of Elliot’s future right now. He had another minor run in with the law, and while no suspension is expected, he has had a history in the past and could get a minor ban. Kamara should get a slightly larger workload and with his insane efficiency, he is going to be a fantasy monster.
(3rd Overall)- Ezekiel Elliot: Only one spot down, Elliot provides the highest rushing floor of any of the “Big 4.” His increased usage in the passing game has given fantasy owners a truly elite running back that is still young and improving. Expect another big rushing line with positive touchdown regression coming.
(4th Overall)- Christian McCaffery: The fact you get to draft CMAC at 4 is amazing. One of the best all around backs in the NFL, CMAC is easily the most polished pass catcher of the “Big 4.” He should improve on his rushing line and that will only vault his value.
(5th Overall)- DeAndre Hopkins: This is where the draft get interesting. You can go a bunch of different ways. Hopkins is the safest player on the board. Expect another monster season from Nuk and should give you consistently high WR finishes.
(6th Overall)- Davante Adams: Much like Hopkins, Adams has an extremely high floor and is the only other wideout I would consider this early in drafts. He is perhaps the only receiver in the league that has a floor of double digit touchdowns.
(7th Overall)- David Johnson: The 5th ranked running back on my board. There are several reasons I choose Johnson over Melvin Gordon. First his injury history, yes DJ has missed an entire season but that was his only stint on the IR. Gordon on the other hand has been injured almost every year. Next is the scrimmage yards. DJ will outproduce Melvin in scrimmage yards and perhaps touchdowns as well.
(8th Overall)- Melvin Gordon: Falling only one spot, this is a good spot for Gordon. He will likely finish as one of the leaders in touchdowns for the running back position. He needs to see an increase in usage in the passing game in order to reach the elite tier in my opinion. Also staying healthy would go a long way.
(9th Overall)- Le’Veon Bell: What a fall it has been for Bell. Just two years ago, he was the top overall pick in almost every fantasy draft. In a new offense, Bell should still see a workhorse role. He might not get the same amount of scoring opportunities but as the only proven player in this offense, he should handle a ton of touches as usual. Bet on the talent of Bell in this spot.
(10th Overall)- Joe Mixon: This is one of the best spots to go back to back elite wideouts, but I love Joe Mixon at the 10 spot. Pairing Mixon and an elite wideout gives you two studs in the most important positions in fantasy. I also believe Mixon will be among the leaders in running back points. His role is only going to grow and his passing game chops are going to be enhanced. Don’t be surprised to see Mixon atop the rushing leaderboards come December.