Every year there is a player that is picked early in fantasy drafts and then goes on and terrorizes their owners the entire season. Every year, we put these players in our lineup, hoping they live up to the expectations and ultimately get disappointed in the process. Here are my 3 picks to be 2019’s fantasy football busts.
After finishing as the 12th best running back in fantasy, 2019 is setting up as a big year for Phillip Lindsay. The undrafted rookie was a huge surprise for everyone in 2018. I am less optimistic about his 2019 outlook. First, he is coming of a surgery in his wrist, similar to what David Johnson went through a couple years back. Next, he is still going to be sharing time with Royce Freeman, someone who the Broncos clearly believed would be their workhorse running back just a year ago. I do believe this backfield will be a timeshare and I can see Freeman taking over the 1A role as the season goes on. Currently Lindsay is going in the fourth round, way to high for my liking.
This one is easy to see. Michel has been injured for much of his career thus far, and is hopeful to be ready for camp. Even so, the Patriots spent a high pick on Damien Harris in the draft. Harris was the “hammer” at Alabama last season and could easily take the early down role if Michel does not prove to be healthy. Even if you disregard Harris, Michel will be in a timeshare with James White and you will be banking on a touchdown every game. Don’t get me wrong, the early down back in New England is one of the most productive sources of fantasy points, but I don’t think Sony will be that guy for most of the season. Given his fourth round ADP, I would rather not spend a valuable pick on Michel.
Now the way I look at “busts” is if they do not preform at or above their ADP production. That is the case for Thielen. Now do I think Thielen will be a top 20 wideout? Yes. Do I think he is worth the second or third round pick? No. Thielen went on a tear for the first half of 2018, and then cooled down considerably in the second half, as Kirk Cousins discovered how good Stefon Diggs is. From weeks 10-17, Thielen was the 29th ranked wideout. In 2019, I think Thielen will take a step back and Diggs will actually be the go-to guy in Minnesota. Both will have value, but I much rather have Diggs a round or two later, than Thielen at his current ADP.